Donald Trump once predicted the US-Israeli war in Iran would last no longer than six weeks. It has now entered its third month.

The conflict has caused a global energy shock on a par with the oil crises of the 1970s, driving up prices of everything from fuel to groceries.

Despite piling additional pressure on already hard-pressed Americans, the latest GDP figures out this week showed the economy motoring along in the first three months of 2026.

As America’s first quarter growth figures offered a boost, it was examined how major US economic indicators are looking for the president, with midterm elections looming in November and no sign of the ongoing war coming to an end.

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